Kerala Rains: Subdued North-East Monsoon Likely to Gain Vigour by November 13
The state of Kerala, known for its lush green landscapes and serene backwaters, has been experiencing a relatively subdued north-east monsoon this year. However, according to recent weather forecasts, the monsoon is expected to gain vigour by November 13, bringing much-needed relief to the state's agricultural sector and water resources.
What is the North-East Monsoon?
The north-east monsoon, also known as the Thulavarsham, is a significant weather phenomenon that affects the southern states of India, particularly Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka. It is a secondary monsoon that occurs during the months of October to December, bringing rainfall to the region. The north-east monsoon is caused by the northeasterly winds that blow from the Bay of Bengal, resulting in the formation of low-pressure systems that bring rainfall to the region.
Impact of the Subdued North-East Monsoon
The subdued north-east monsoon has had a significant impact on Kerala's agricultural sector, with many farmers reporting delayed and reduced crop yields. The state's agricultural production is heavily dependent on the timely arrival of the monsoon, and any delays or rainfall deficiencies can have far-reaching consequences. The lack of rainfall has also affected the state's water resources, with many reservoirs and lakes running low on water.
Climate Change and its Impact on the North-East Monsoon
Climate change has been identified as one of the major factors contributing to the subdued north-east monsoon in Kerala. Rising global temperatures, changes in atmospheric circulation patterns, and increased sea surface temperatures are all likely to impact the intensity and duration of the monsoon. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has predicted that climate change will lead to increased variability in monsoon patterns, resulting in more frequent and severe droughts and floods.
Weather Forecast: What to Expect
According to the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), the north-east monsoon is expected to gain vigour by November 13. A low-pressure system is likely to form over the Bay of Bengal, which will bring rainfall to the region. The IMD has predicted that Kerala will receive above-normal rainfall during the next few days, which will bring much-needed relief to the state's agricultural sector and water resources.
Regional Breakdown of the Weather Forecast
The IMD has predicted that the following districts in Kerala will receive above-normal rainfall during the next few days:
- Thiruvananthapuram District: Heavy rainfall has been predicted in the Thiruvananthapuram district, particularly in the coastal areas.
- Kollam District: The Kollam district is expected to receive above-normal rainfall, leading to an increase in water levels in the state's reservoirs.
- Alappuzha District: The Alappuzha district, which is famous for its backwaters, is expected to receive heavy rainfall during the next few days.
- Kottayam District: The Kottayam district is expected to receive above-normal rainfall, leading to an increase in agricultural activities in the region.
Preparatory Measures
The Kerala government has taken preparatory measures to mitigate the impact of the expected heavy rainfall. The state's disaster management authorities have issued alerts to the following districts:
- Thiruvananthapuram District: A red alert has been issued in the Thiruvananthapuram district, particularly in the coastal areas.
- Kollam District: An orange alert has been issued in the Kollam district, warning of potential flooding and landslides.
- Alappuzha District: A yellow alert has been issued in the Alappuzha district, warning of potential waterlogging and disruption of normal life.
Conclusion
The subdued north-east monsoon in Kerala is expected to gain vigour by November 13, bringing much-needed relief to the state's agricultural sector and water resources. However, climate change remains a significant challenge, and the state's authorities must take steps to mitigate its impact. The Kerala government's preparatory measures are a welcome step in this direction, and the state's residents must remain vigilant and prepared for any potential natural disasters. With timely interventions and good governance, Kerala can bounce back from the challenges posed by the subdued north-east monsoon and achieve a more resilient and sustainable future.
